Articles in the Psychology category
Cognitive biases cost the average bettor more ROI than poor model selection. This 2 000-word article dissects the 7 biases that destroy edge — confirmation, recency, anchoring, gambler's fallacy, hot-hand, sunk cost, illusion of control — using research from Kahneman, Tversky and Lerner.
Tilt is the emotional state where a bettor stops making rational decisions after a losing sequence. This 1 500-word article maps the neurological chain (amygdala hijack, loss aversion, sunk-cost fallacy), distinguishes variance from strategy failure, and delivers four recovery protocols: the mandatory time-out, the stake reduction, the sport switch, and the journal review. Includes a decision tree to apply before placing the next bet after two consecutive losses.
A guide to building a betting journal that actually lifts ROI. Covers why 90% of bettors don't journal, the 8 fields that matter (edge, confidence, emotional state, stake compliance, closing line value, market, reasoning, outcome), the 20-minute weekly review process that turns raw data into behaviour change, and the four biases a journal reveals. Includes a free copy-ready template and the exact question structure to use during review.